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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.11+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+2.98vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.61+5.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.60+0.16vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.87+3.09vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.76-3.23vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.55+0.18vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.83-0.11vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.49-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.66-2.61vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.58vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.66-1.20vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-2.82+0.19vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-2.27-1.75vs Predicted
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17Florida International University-1.37-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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5.98University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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9.25Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.43Rollins College0.580.1%1st Place
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10.09University of South Florida-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University0.760.2%1st Place
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9.18Florida State University-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.89Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.94Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.42Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.8Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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15.19Embry-Riddle University-2.820.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.8Florida International University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 18.9% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Darby Smith | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Pray | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Grayson Tella | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Eckert | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Belson | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Anderson Osinski | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Justin Tribou | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 11.0% |
| Jess Dai | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 51.1% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 24.9% |
| Salvatore Casciola | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.