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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.60+4.10vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+1.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.76+1.81vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+0.87vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.66+6.78vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.11-0.19vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.49+0.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.83+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-2.27+4.19vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.55-1.92vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-0.61-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.87-2.80vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-3.52vs Predicted
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15Florida International University-1.37-3.29vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-0.66-6.57vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.82-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University0.760.1%1st Place
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5.38Rollins College0.580.1%1st Place
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5.87University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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12.78Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.81University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.1Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.08Florida State University-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.2Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.48Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.71Florida International University-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.35Embry-Riddle University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grayson Tella | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 11.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Belson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| Samantha Eckert | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Esme Pray | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Salvatore Casciola | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.7% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jess Dai | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.