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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.76+3.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.60+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.08+0.07vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.55+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.66+3.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.11-0.22vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.49+0.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.58-3.56vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.61-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.27+3.19vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.83-2.01vs Predicted
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13Florida International University-1.37-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.87-3.74vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-4.63vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.66-3.36vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.82-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Jacksonville University0.760.2%1st Place
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5.18Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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8.97Florida State University-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.78University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.44Rollins College0.580.1%1st Place
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9.13Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.99Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.86Florida International University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.26University of South Florida-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.37Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.64Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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15.31Embry-Riddle University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Tella | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 18.3% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Eckert | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Justin Tribou | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 25.8% | 27.3% |
| Noah Belson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Salvatore Casciola | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Esme Pray | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Samantha Covell | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| Jess Dai | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.