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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+3.09vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.53+6.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-3.57vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-2.01vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.40vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.06vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-4.06vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.94Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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11.94Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.85Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 10.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 27.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 12.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.