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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+5.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+3.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.60vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.53+5.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.17vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.36+2.04vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-6.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-3.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.03vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-3.16vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.18vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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13.04Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.84Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.82Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 38.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.