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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+5.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.62+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.53+5.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+3.64vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36+4.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.48-6.02vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-6.81vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.29-8.42vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.55Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.15Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.57Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.85Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 12.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 21.7% | 39.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.