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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+4.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.53+6.71vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+7.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.48-4.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-4.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-5.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-3.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-8.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-3.13vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-2.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.06Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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14.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.87Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.06Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.86Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 25.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.