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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.79vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+0.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-1.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-5.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-3.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36+0.03vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.53-2.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.17vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.03Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.04Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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14.83Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 22.0% | 37.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.