Race 10A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 10.9% 11.6% 10.3% 12.6% 8.1% 4.0%
Duncan Swain 18.0% 18.3% 16.1% 12.4% 9.6% 8.9% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
William Howard 14.0% 10.9% 12.2% 10.9% 12.3% 10.3% 10.6% 7.4% 6.3% 2.8% 1.9% 0.4%
John Renehan 11.4% 12.2% 12.1% 12.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.3% 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% 2.2% 0.8%
Blake Burgess 10.2% 11.8% 10.8% 10.6% 11.0% 10.4% 8.5% 8.7% 7.3% 5.5% 4.3% 0.9%
James Rohman 8.5% 9.2% 8.3% 8.6% 10.4% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.7% 8.4% 5.3% 1.8%
Lyle Fielding 7.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 8.0% 10.2% 10.3% 10.2% 10.6% 6.9% 3.2%
Michael Saldi 11.3% 9.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 10.2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6%
David Pierce 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.1% 8.2% 9.8% 9.5% 13.5% 12.6% 12.9% 4.6%
Nicholas Dragone 3.7% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 6.1% 5.1% 9.5% 10.5% 13.2% 23.4% 12.6%
Richard Graef 4.2% 3.9% 5.9% 6.7% 5.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.7% 10.1% 13.8% 15.9% 7.0%
James Fales 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 6.3% 15.0% 63.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.