Race 1B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Scholz 9.4% 9.8% 10.0% 10.4% 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Reed McAllister 11.4% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 10.5% 10.7% 9.3% 9.3% 5.9% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 10.1% 11.2% 10.4% 10.9% 10.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.6%
Devon Owen 18.4% 15.9% 15.8% 12.5% 9.9% 8.3% 6.8% 5.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Adam Strobridge 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 9.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.8% 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Ben Hosford 5.9% 5.1% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 9.3% 8.2% 8.7% 10.5% 10.7% 11.2% 6.9% 2.7%
Nat Edmonds 3.6% 3.8% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 8.9% 9.7% 14.6% 19.6% 12.0%
Lilly Saffer 4.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 11.3% 14.7% 16.7% 8.2%
Daniel Escudero 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 10.5% 14.0% 21.6% 14.5%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 8.9% 9.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Jakub Fuja 9.3% 10.7% 8.0% 8.5% 10.2% 10.3% 11.6% 9.1% 8.1% 6.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Allison Nystrom 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 9.8% 11.5% 12.2% 10.4% 3.4%
Alexander Manthous 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 5.8% 8.2% 13.2% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.