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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+4.98vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.34vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.31+3.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.73+4.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-0.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-2.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.13vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-3.72vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74-0.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-6.87vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.87Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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14.26Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.84Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 13.7% |
| Ella Towner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 11.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 27.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.