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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+4.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+6.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.88vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+1.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.73+0.46vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-2.83vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.87+1.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.31-4.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-5.84vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-6.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-1.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-3.00vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.05vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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12.0Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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14.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.36Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 12.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 7.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 41.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.