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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+4.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.53+7.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-0.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73+1.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.83vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-2.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.31-3.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-3.55vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74+0.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-7.17vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.64vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.87-3.42vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.05vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.03Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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14.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 43.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.