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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+4.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+4.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+3.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+1.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.39+1.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.69-0.18vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.82+1.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.55vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.64+0.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.17-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80-2.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.28-4.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-1.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.37-3.45vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.53-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College0.820.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.02Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Janzen | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Meara Conley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 29.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| Skye Johnson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.