← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.17+6.31vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+4.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.80+5.74vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.69+1.85vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.12+6.03vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.75vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50-0.53vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.90-3.04vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.84-3.82vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.28-2.83vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.39-5.27vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College0.82-4.39vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.64-4.75vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.37-2.65vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-0.61-2.86vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.53-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.31Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
-
6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
-
8.74University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
-
5.85Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
-
11.03Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.47Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.96Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.18Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.17Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
-
6.73Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
-
9.25Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
-
12.35University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.14Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.95Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Meara Conley | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte West | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 21.7% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 31.1% |
| Skye Johnson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.