Race 5B

27th-mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emma Wang 5.3% 6.3% 7.9% 7.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 7.9% 5.6% 4.6% 2.7% 0.9%
Tavia Smith 9.8% 10.8% 9.6% 9.9% 8.2% 9.2% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 4.3% 5.9% 3.9% 7.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.0% 9.5% 7.7% 8.3% 8.7% 8.8% 7.3% 5.3% 4.9% 1.9%
Alma Bewsher 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.9% 12.8% 17.0% 26.0%
Maddie Janzen 12.8% 13.6% 11.4% 12.1% 9.5% 9.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabby Collins 5.8% 6.4% 8.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 7.0% 8.1% 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 5.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0%
Audrey Foley 16.2% 11.0% 13.1% 9.0% 10.1% 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 5.4% 4.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Meara Conley 3.4% 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.1% 9.0% 9.4% 10.1% 7.0% 3.1%
Sylvia Burns 2.6% 3.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 4.4% 5.8% 5.6% 7.1% 9.5% 11.9% 11.9% 13.1% 8.7%
Sophia Montgomery 12.8% 8.9% 10.4% 8.7% 10.9% 10.5% 9.5% 7.9% 6.1% 4.9% 3.6% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Bailey Kreszswick 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 4.0% 4.8% 7.7% 13.5% 17.2% 31.6%
Charlotte West 8.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.7% 8.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.7% 5.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Sidney Moyer 7.0% 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.9% 7.6% 6.8% 6.4% 6.6% 3.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Julia Scipione 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 5.1% 7.7% 5.9% 7.9% 6.3% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 7.2% 5.9% 2.4%
Ava Hurwitz 4.0% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 9.1% 8.7% 11.6% 8.7% 6.1% 3.0%
Jordynn Johnson 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 10.2% 13.8% 20.1% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.