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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.39+5.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+4.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+1.89vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+8.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.84+0.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50+0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.80+0.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.69-3.42vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.64-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37+0.29vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.610.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.12-3.12vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.14-7.72vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-6.32vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.60-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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12.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.0Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 15.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 24.5% |
| Maddie Janzen | 11.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 21.5% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 32.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% |
| Gabby Collins | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Meara Conley | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.