Race 11A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 6.4% 6.4% 5.8% 7.9% 7.7% 9.7% 9.0% 11.7% 10.9% 12.6% 8.0% 3.9%
Duncan Swain 18.5% 17.8% 16.3% 12.3% 11.0% 7.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
James Rohman 9.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.1% 11.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.9% 10.2% 4.1% 1.6%
Michael Saldi 8.7% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 9.5% 10.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3%
Blake Burgess 10.7% 11.4% 10.5% 11.0% 11.1% 9.6% 9.9% 7.6% 7.7% 5.4% 4.0% 1.1%
John Renehan 12.1% 12.5% 10.3% 11.5% 11.9% 10.8% 9.9% 7.5% 6.2% 4.1% 2.9% 0.3%
Lyle Fielding 7.4% 8.5% 7.7% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 10.8% 10.1% 7.1% 3.2%
William Howard 15.0% 12.0% 12.5% 11.8% 9.7% 9.6% 9.6% 7.1% 6.7% 2.9% 2.2% 0.9%
Richard Graef 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 8.5% 8.1% 9.5% 9.3% 13.5% 12.8% 13.0% 4.8%
Nicholas Dragone 3.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 9.5% 9.6% 12.7% 23.6% 12.5%
David Pierce 4.1% 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 5.7% 8.1% 8.9% 11.2% 9.5% 13.4% 15.6% 7.2%
James Fales 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 5.9% 15.3% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.