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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+4.66vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+3.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+3.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.53-0.96vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.89-0.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.13+1.61vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.35+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.80-3.13vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.94-5.30vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.41-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.46-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Rhode Island1.0510.8%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University1.0711.5%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.2%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.255.2%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.5318.6%1st Place
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5.72Connecticut College0.899.8%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College-0.133.2%1st Place
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9.21Amherst College-0.352.8%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont0.809.0%1st Place
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7.15SUNY Maritime College0.415.0%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University0.949.0%1st Place
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9.34Webb Institute-0.412.7%1st Place
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11.28University of Michigan-1.461.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Strobridge | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Reed McAllister | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Allison Nystrom | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
Devon Owen | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Henry Scholz | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Lilly Saffer | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
Nat Edmonds | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 13.0% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Ben Hosford | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
Jakub Fuja | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Daniel Escudero | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 14.9% |
Alexander Manthous | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.