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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+4.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+4.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+6.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.12+7.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.39+1.62vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+6.50vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.14-0.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-2.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.84-4.87vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-6.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37+0.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61-1.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.80-6.51vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.64-6.69vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.60-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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12.5Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.13Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University1.900.2%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.96Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Charlotte West | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 24.4% |
| Emma Wang | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Janzen | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 22.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 30.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.