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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+3.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+3.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+3.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.39+2.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.69+0.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14+1.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.80+0.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-1.13vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12+1.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.49vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+0.40vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.60-3.72vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61-1.07vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.64-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.37-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.49Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.93Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Emma Wang | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Meara Conley | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 23.9% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 30.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.