Race 3B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.3% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Calvin Schmid 15.8% 14.9% 13.2% 12.7% 11.2% 10.4% 6.6% 6.2% 4.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 8.7% 8.1% 9.7% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 8.2% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0%
Henry Scholz 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 6.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Nat Edmonds 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.7% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 10.0% 13.8% 23.2% 16.8%
Joshua Dillon 8.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9%
Ben Hosford 4.6% 6.1% 5.0% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.8% 10.7% 11.4% 12.2% 9.4% 3.5%
Jakub Fuja 8.5% 6.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 8.9% 9.2% 5.8% 3.4% 0.6%
Lilly Saffer 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 7.0% 8.6% 9.3% 14.5% 21.8% 10.3%
Allison Nystrom 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.0% 9.8% 11.8% 14.5% 12.7% 5.1%
Devon Owen 15.2% 14.2% 13.8% 12.1% 11.8% 9.0% 8.1% 5.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 11.0% 11.9% 9.6% 11.2% 9.2% 8.2% 9.7% 8.6% 6.8% 6.7% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Alexander Manthous 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 14.5% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.