Race 12A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 6.0% 7.1% 6.3% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 10.5% 10.7% 12.3% 10.5% 10.0% 3.4%
John Renehan 11.2% 13.9% 9.7% 9.4% 12.8% 12.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.2%
Richard Graef 5.6% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.7% 15.4% 15.9% 6.3%
Michael Saldi 8.0% 10.3% 10.2% 10.0% 9.9% 11.8% 8.5% 9.8% 8.2% 6.7% 5.7% 0.9%
James Rohman 7.1% 10.5% 9.1% 9.9% 9.0% 9.4% 10.6% 10.1% 10.0% 7.0% 6.1% 1.2%
Duncan Swain 19.4% 16.0% 14.9% 13.0% 10.7% 8.7% 6.1% 5.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
David Pierce 5.5% 4.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.1% 8.4% 12.3% 13.9% 13.2% 6.3%
Lyle Fielding 8.6% 6.7% 9.2% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 8.6% 10.7% 11.3% 7.3% 2.3%
William Howard 12.5% 13.2% 13.6% 12.8% 10.4% 9.4% 10.0% 8.3% 4.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Dragone 4.3% 3.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.4% 6.1% 6.4% 9.1% 9.4% 13.5% 21.9% 13.8%
James Fales 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.1% 2.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.9% 13.0% 64.6%
Blake Burgess 10.3% 9.7% 11.0% 11.0% 11.7% 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 8.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.