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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-0.98+7.76vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+5.28vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+4.60vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36+2.63vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.28+1.48vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.31-1.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.33-4.07vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.07-5.05vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.83-7.08vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.81-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76University of Oregon-0.981.6%1st Place
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7.28University of Oregon0.113.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Oregon-0.403.0%1st Place
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7.4Oregon State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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7.63University of Washington-0.362.7%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington-0.282.6%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University0.315.7%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University1.3315.4%1st Place
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3.95University of Washington1.0713.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Washington1.8325.2%1st Place
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3.05Western Washington University1.8124.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Euseekers Williams | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 34.4% |
Emily Avey | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% |
Rowan Clinch | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
Jaxon Gordon | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
Alice Meng | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% |
Ellie Blakemore | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
Adam Turloff | 15.4% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Lucien Freemesser | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Stone | 25.2% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Leif Hauge | 24.5% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.