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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+10.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+6.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.38+3.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.23vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.34+5.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+2.28vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-3.72vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.90-3.22vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.50-6.57vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.71-8.39vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.10-6.58vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.29-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.65Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.69Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.92Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.42Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katii Gullick | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Shannon Heausler | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Megan Magill | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 27.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.