Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 15.3% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8% 11.6% 10.8% 8.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 19.0% 17.1% 16.5% 14.8% 10.8% 8.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 11.8% 12.3% 12.5% 13.4% 13.3% 11.8% 9.0% 7.9% 4.8% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Christopher Hulse 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 8.3% 11.3% 11.8% 12.6% 14.0% 10.9% 2.7%
Edward Moan 2.6% 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 8.3% 8.5% 12.7% 12.2% 15.1% 17.3% 5.1%
Daniel Barry 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 4.9% 5.6% 8.0% 8.4% 11.8% 12.0% 12.3% 11.3% 13.4% 2.4%
Terry Duncan 3.2% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 6.8% 9.5% 9.3% 14.1% 15.6% 17.4% 3.6%
Ben Weigel 23.8% 20.6% 18.0% 13.3% 11.9% 5.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 9.9% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 12.1% 12.4% 11.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3%
Jacob Tronaas 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 7.5% 10.0% 12.0% 12.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.0% 6.2% 1.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 5.8% 5.1% 7.4% 8.9% 12.1% 14.5% 13.6% 16.3% 5.7%
Justin Marks 2.3% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.6% 7.3% 9.3% 9.7% 12.6% 13.4% 14.3% 9.4% 1.7%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 2.0% 4.2% 8.7% 77.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.