Race 4B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Reed McAllister 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.5% 8.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7%
Devon Owen 15.1% 14.4% 14.1% 12.7% 11.1% 8.9% 7.3% 6.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 9.8% 9.7% 8.7% 10.0% 10.4% 10.7% 9.3% 9.4% 7.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.7% 0.5%
Nat Edmonds 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 8.1% 10.5% 14.9% 24.3% 14.5%
Calvin Schmid 16.4% 16.0% 15.2% 11.8% 10.9% 8.5% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 8.6% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 10.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Henry Scholz 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.5% 9.8% 10.0% 8.9% 8.2% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9%
Allison Nystrom 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.8% 12.2% 14.1% 13.5% 5.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 9.6% 8.7% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 7.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Lilly Saffer 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.8% 11.8% 14.9% 19.8% 10.8%
Ben Hosford 4.9% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 6.6% 8.2% 8.4% 9.0% 10.5% 11.4% 12.0% 9.2% 2.8%
Alexander Manthous 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 6.3% 14.0% 61.9%
Adam Strobridge 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.3% 8.6% 7.3% 6.2% 3.7% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.