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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+1.88vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.39vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79-0.31vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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2.07Tulane University2.380.3%1st Place
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4.39University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.69Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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1.97Stanford University2.580.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 16.8% | 18.6% | 33.0% | 23.4% | 8.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 34.4% | 35.2% | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 65.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.8% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 41.5% | 24.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 40.6% | 31.8% | 19.0% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.