Race 5B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Owen 15.6% 14.1% 13.8% 12.8% 10.7% 9.3% 7.5% 6.5% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 8.2% 8.0% 5.5% 4.2% 0.7%
Joshua Dillon 9.0% 10.8% 9.3% 9.2% 11.2% 9.8% 9.2% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 3.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Allison Nystrom 4.4% 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.1% 10.7% 11.4% 12.9% 13.1% 5.5%
Adam Strobridge 8.3% 8.8% 8.3% 9.7% 8.6% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 9.7% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8%
Calvin Schmid 16.9% 14.2% 15.0% 12.6% 10.4% 9.4% 6.4% 6.0% 4.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry Scholz 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 8.5% 10.0% 9.6% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Reed McAllister 10.1% 10.0% 11.3% 10.0% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 8.8% 7.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Lilly Saffer 3.4% 3.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 10.8% 15.7% 19.5% 10.8%
Nat Edmonds 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 8.3% 9.7% 16.2% 23.8% 13.9%
Alexander Manthous 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 6.2% 13.8% 63.1%
Jakub Fuja 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 8.0% 6.2% 3.5% 0.7%
Ben Hosford 4.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 13.4% 12.8% 9.8% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.