Race 2B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Edward Moan 2.3% 2.4% 2.3% 3.9% 4.6% 5.6% 7.7% 9.8% 10.5% 13.2% 14.9% 18.7% 4.1%
Ben Weigel 23.0% 21.3% 17.1% 13.0% 10.4% 7.4% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 16.8% 17.6% 18.1% 12.8% 12.5% 9.6% 6.7% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Cameron Fraser 12.3% 12.2% 13.0% 13.1% 13.9% 9.4% 9.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 12.2% 9.9% 11.9% 12.0% 11.7% 12.4% 10.2% 8.7% 5.9% 2.7% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 13.1% 15.1% 12.0% 10.5% 2.3%
Chandler Salisbury 16.5% 15.9% 13.2% 14.3% 11.8% 10.8% 7.9% 4.8% 2.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.3% 12.3% 11.2% 12.1% 11.3% 8.7% 5.0% 0.8%
Zachary O'Brien 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 4.0% 4.7% 4.7% 6.0% 9.6% 10.2% 13.5% 14.8% 19.5% 5.3%
Daniel Barry 2.6% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 5.4% 7.0% 9.0% 10.2% 13.6% 12.1% 13.2% 11.2% 3.5%
Justin Marks 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.9% 8.4% 10.6% 12.8% 11.4% 12.2% 12.5% 6.7% 1.7%
Terry Duncan 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.9% 11.0% 11.8% 16.1% 19.0% 4.9%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 4.7% 8.9% 77.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.