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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.29+2.17vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-2.76+1.68vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.72-0.61vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.12-1.12vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.20-1.89vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
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3.68Marquette University-2.760.1%1st Place
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2.39Purdue University-1.720.3%1st Place
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2.88Purdue University-2.120.2%1st Place
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3.11Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
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5.78Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 15.7% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 20.7% | 2.1% |
| Gabrielle McCall | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 34.3% | 4.5% |
| Megan Pedersen | 33.1% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 0.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 22.1% | 19.2% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 1.1% |
| Milo Fernandez | 17.8% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 3.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.