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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.72+1.44vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-2.29+1.08vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.12-0.12vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.20-1.00vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.76-1.19vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Purdue University-1.720.3%1st Place
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3.08Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
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2.88Purdue University-2.120.2%1st Place
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3.0Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
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3.81Marquette University-2.760.1%1st Place
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5.78Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Pedersen | 30.2% | 28.2% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 18.5% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 1.9% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 21.6% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 14.2% | 1.1% |
| Milo Fernandez | 19.4% | 18.5% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 1.1% |
| Gabrielle McCall | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 35.2% | 6.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.