← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University-1.72+1.46vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-2.20+0.97vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-2.12-0.13vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-2.76-0.31vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-2.29-1.77vs Predicted
-
6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46Purdue University-1.720.3%1st Place
-
2.97Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
-
2.87Purdue University-2.120.2%1st Place
-
3.69Marquette University-2.760.1%1st Place
-
3.23Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
-
5.78Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Pedersen | 29.7% | 26.1% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Milo Fernandez | 20.8% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 1.5% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 21.6% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 1.0% |
| Gabrielle McCall | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 35.6% | 4.2% |
| Silas Hokanson | 15.9% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 3.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.