← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-2.76+2.75vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-2.29+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-2.12-0.13vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-1.72-1.61vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-2.20-1.87vs Predicted
-
6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75Marquette University-2.760.1%1st Place
-
3.08Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
-
2.87Purdue University-2.120.2%1st Place
-
2.39Purdue University-1.720.3%1st Place
-
3.13Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
-
5.78Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabrielle McCall | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 35.9% | 5.2% |
| Silas Hokanson | 17.5% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 1.7% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 21.9% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 0.9% |
| Megan Pedersen | 32.4% | 23.6% | 24.1% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Milo Fernandez | 17.8% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 3.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.