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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.72+1.21vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-2.20+0.65vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.29-0.28vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.12-1.41vs Predicted
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5Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Purdue University-1.720.4%1st Place
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2.65Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
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2.72Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
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2.59Purdue University-2.120.2%1st Place
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4.83Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Pedersen | 35.1% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 13.9% | 2.0% |
| Milo Fernandez | 21.8% | 23.7% | 25.3% | 26.6% | 2.6% |
| Silas Hokanson | 19.8% | 22.7% | 25.4% | 29.5% | 2.6% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 22.5% | 25.2% | 25.5% | 24.5% | 2.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.