← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University-2.29+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-1.72+0.18vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-2.12-0.46vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-2.20-1.35vs Predicted
-
5Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Purdue University-2.290.2%1st Place
-
2.18Purdue University-1.720.3%1st Place
-
2.54Purdue University-2.120.3%1st Place
-
2.65Northwestern University-2.200.2%1st Place
-
4.84Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 18.9% | 21.3% | 25.8% | 29.9% | 4.1% |
| Megan Pedersen | 34.2% | 29.1% | 22.1% | 13.6% | 1.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 25.4% | 22.7% | 25.6% | 24.6% | 1.7% |
| Milo Fernandez | 20.7% | 25.9% | 24.2% | 26.5% | 2.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.