Race 6B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Dillon 8.6% 10.2% 10.8% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 7.0% 6.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Reed McAllister 10.1% 9.7% 8.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 8.6% 9.4% 7.8% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 6.8% 4.1% 0.7%
Calvin Schmid 18.2% 14.7% 13.7% 12.4% 10.8% 8.2% 6.8% 6.2% 4.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Devon Owen 15.2% 14.0% 14.1% 11.6% 11.1% 9.0% 8.0% 7.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Lilly Saffer 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 7.3% 12.2% 15.9% 19.7% 9.8%
Allison Nystrom 4.7% 5.1% 4.2% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 10.9% 14.0% 11.1% 5.6%
Henry Scholz 7.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 8.8% 10.1% 7.5% 5.8% 3.1% 0.6%
Nat Edmonds 3.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 9.3% 14.1% 25.2% 15.3%
Adam Strobridge 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 10.7% 9.6% 7.9% 8.2% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Ben Hosford 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 12.2% 8.8% 3.8%
Jakub Fuja 8.4% 8.2% 8.4% 9.0% 8.5% 10.3% 9.9% 8.6% 10.0% 7.3% 6.0% 4.2% 1.1%
Alexander Manthous 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 5.7% 15.5% 61.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.