Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 15.5% 14.4% 15.0% 14.3% 13.3% 9.4% 7.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 23.9% 20.0% 18.2% 13.0% 10.6% 6.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Fraser 10.6% 12.1% 15.3% 11.4% 12.5% 12.6% 10.5% 6.0% 5.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Conor Lodge 10.3% 9.3% 11.4% 15.3% 10.1% 11.8% 10.9% 9.7% 5.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Nate Jermain 19.5% 18.2% 15.2% 12.1% 12.9% 9.0% 6.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 4.9% 4.4% 6.6% 6.3% 9.2% 7.9% 10.3% 13.3% 13.0% 9.4% 8.0% 5.9% 0.8%
Edward Moan 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 7.1% 6.7% 7.4% 12.1% 12.8% 15.3% 17.8% 4.0%
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 4.9% 3.0% 5.1% 5.4% 6.9% 9.0% 11.6% 11.1% 14.9% 12.1% 11.5% 1.6%
Terry Duncan 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 4.6% 4.3% 5.3% 7.6% 7.5% 11.5% 13.9% 15.3% 17.7% 4.8%
Justin Marks 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 9.4% 10.1% 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 13.1% 8.4% 3.5%
Zachary O'Brien 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.9% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4% 14.2% 15.6% 5.4%
Daniel Barry 2.2% 3.8% 3.0% 5.2% 5.3% 8.0% 8.3% 10.1% 10.5% 13.4% 14.9% 12.7% 2.6%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 9.9% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.