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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.01vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+1.27vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.19vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.17+1.37vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.78-2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.60-0.04vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.38-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.27Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.19Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
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5.37Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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2.47Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.69Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kenahan | 20.6% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 18.0% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Finn Deprez | 18.6% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 9.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 31.8% | 26.4% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Green | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 17.4% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.