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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.23vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.78-1.53vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.38+0.70vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.17-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
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3.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.23Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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2.47Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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5.7Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.36Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Deprez | 19.2% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 19.2% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 19.0% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Schneider | 30.9% | 25.8% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.1% | 27.0% | 12.4% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 19.9% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 9.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 18.6% | 60.0% |
| Charlotte Green | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 27.7% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.