← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.78+1.41vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.23+0.26vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-1.17+1.41vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.92vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-1.38-0.37vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+0.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-1.60-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.41Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
-
3.19Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
-
3.26Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
-
5.41Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
-
3.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
-
5.63Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
-
5.94University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 33.7% | 25.3% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Finn Deprez | 18.3% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 17.4% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 24.0% | 23.2% | 9.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 18.9% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Toby Jennings | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 14.1% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 58.3% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 16.8% | 21.2% | 28.3% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.