Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nate Jermain 18.8% 16.8% 17.3% 13.3% 11.6% 8.9% 6.3% 4.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hulse 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.6% 11.0% 12.4% 12.6% 14.4% 10.2% 2.8%
Cameron Fraser 11.8% 12.1% 12.4% 12.7% 15.1% 11.7% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Justin Marks 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 6.2% 8.9% 9.5% 11.4% 12.2% 10.9% 12.0% 10.3% 2.7%
Ben Weigel 25.0% 18.8% 17.4% 14.0% 11.1% 5.9% 3.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 3.9% 6.9% 4.8% 6.4% 7.9% 8.7% 13.2% 11.2% 12.6% 9.7% 7.5% 6.4% 0.8%
Chandler Salisbury 16.4% 14.2% 15.7% 14.9% 11.0% 10.5% 6.8% 5.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Barry 2.6% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 11.7% 10.5% 14.3% 14.2% 10.7% 1.6%
Zachary O'Brien 2.1% 3.4% 2.6% 3.9% 3.6% 5.3% 6.5% 8.2% 10.6% 13.9% 15.3% 19.3% 5.3%
Edward Moan 2.0% 3.4% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 11.0% 12.4% 15.4% 17.9% 5.4%
Terry Duncan 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 12.5% 14.4% 13.2% 14.5% 4.4%
Conor Lodge 9.2% 10.4% 11.7% 12.0% 11.8% 12.7% 11.4% 7.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 4.0% 9.8% 76.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.