Race 7B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Owen 15.8% 13.2% 12.7% 14.2% 11.4% 9.2% 8.6% 6.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 9.4% 10.0% 11.2% 8.8% 10.3% 10.5% 9.3% 9.4% 8.2% 5.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.9% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
Calvin Schmid 16.0% 16.6% 14.0% 12.6% 11.3% 9.3% 7.3% 6.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 10.6% 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 8.9% 9.7% 10.2% 8.3% 6.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Henry Scholz 8.8% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 10.0% 10.0% 10.1% 8.6% 8.3% 5.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Adam Strobridge 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 5.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Jeremy Lunati 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.3% 5.1% 6.6% 7.8% 9.1% 12.5% 15.4% 16.7% 7.8%
Lilly Saffer 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 11.2% 16.1% 18.1% 9.9%
Jakub Fuja 8.8% 8.2% 9.4% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.2% 7.4% 6.8% 3.1% 0.7%
Nat Edmonds 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 11.2% 14.4% 22.5% 15.4%
Allison Nystrom 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.4% 10.8% 12.0% 14.5% 12.0% 4.2%
Alexander Manthous 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.2% 7.1% 15.2% 59.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.