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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+1.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.22vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.81vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.17+0.36vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.38-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-1.60-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.22Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.19Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
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5.36Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.67Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 33.3% | 25.7% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 18.8% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 17.8% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Finn Deprez | 18.4% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 24.7% | 21.1% | 8.4% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 22.7% | 24.2% | 13.6% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 25.8% | 22.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.