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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+1.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.23vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+2.10vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.17-0.65vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.38-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.23Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.2Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
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7.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.35Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.71Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 32.8% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 19.1% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 17.9% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Finn Deprez | 18.7% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 59.0% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 8.7% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 23.7% | 24.8% | 14.8% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 27.2% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.