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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+1.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+1.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-1.60+1.01vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.38-0.36vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.17-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.2Maine Maritime Academy0.270.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.64Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.4Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 32.8% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 17.3% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 20.7% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Finn Deprez | 18.2% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 28.6% | 19.1% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 23.8% | 13.7% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 10.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.