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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+2.45vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+1.17vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.78-0.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.97vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.17+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.60-0.04vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.38-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.17Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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2.38Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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5.31Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.66Middlebury College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Thompson | 15.6% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Grant Smith | 18.5% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 33.5% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 20.8% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 19.2% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 8.3% |
| Charlotte Green | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 26.9% | 20.1% |
| Toby Jennings | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 15.5% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.