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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+1.64vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+1.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+3.25vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.77vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.17-0.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23-3.40vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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7.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.23Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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5.67Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.6Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 30.4% | 23.0% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 16.9% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 64.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 17.9% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Straub | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 25.6% | 26.1% | 12.9% |
| Grant Smith | 15.6% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Green | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 37.0% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.