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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.78+1.90vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+1.54vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.84vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23-0.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.28vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.17+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.44-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.54Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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3.84Maine Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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3.92Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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6.19Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schneider | 26.4% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 17.5% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Finn Deprez | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Grant Smith | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 31.7% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 12.3% |
| Charlotte Green | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 26.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.