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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.23+2.83vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.78-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.17+2.24vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.15vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.44-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.97Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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6.24Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.85Maine Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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3.5Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 15.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 15.5% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Schneider | 26.1% | 20.4% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 25.1% | 33.0% |
| Finn Deprez | 12.6% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.5% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 11.0% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 23.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.