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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.23+2.75vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.78+0.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.62vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-1.60-0.19vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.17-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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2.92Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.54Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.11Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 25.6% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 17.7% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Walter Chiles | 16.7% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 9.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 54.2% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 28.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.