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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.23+2.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.68vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.78-0.12vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.17+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.44+0.06vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-2.57vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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2.88Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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6.16Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.43Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 15.1% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Luke Kenahan | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Jack Schneider | 27.3% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 31.8% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 10.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 22.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.