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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+3.18vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.78+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.44+1.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.33vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.23-2.19vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.17-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.60-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.93Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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4.98University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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3.5Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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6.21Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Thompson | 13.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Jack Schneider | 26.4% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 10.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 15.2% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Grant Smith | 14.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 26.5% | 32.4% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 24.7% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.