Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 15.7% 14.8% 15.3% 13.6% 11.9% 11.5% 7.7% 4.8% 2.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Justin Marks 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 9.3% 11.1% 14.2% 10.8% 12.8% 9.3% 2.4%
Nate Jermain 16.6% 18.0% 16.4% 15.5% 11.5% 8.0% 5.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.8% 8.9% 9.1% 10.6% 12.3% 11.4% 10.4% 10.7% 4.8% 1.3%
Ben Weigel 24.8% 20.7% 16.0% 13.7% 9.9% 6.2% 3.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 11.1% 10.5% 10.5% 13.1% 12.9% 13.3% 9.7% 7.0% 5.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 3.0% 2.4% 3.1% 4.5% 4.4% 7.0% 5.8% 7.6% 10.5% 14.4% 13.8% 18.7% 4.8%
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.5% 10.8% 10.3% 11.9% 12.8% 13.9% 11.3% 1.3%
Daniel Barry 3.5% 2.8% 3.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.6% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3% 13.6% 12.9% 12.4% 3.3%
Edward Moan 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 7.6% 10.4% 9.8% 12.6% 14.5% 17.3% 6.3%
Terry Duncan 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.9% 5.6% 5.9% 7.8% 10.3% 12.9% 13.4% 14.0% 14.7% 4.1%
Cameron Fraser 11.2% 12.2% 14.3% 11.1% 13.0% 12.1% 10.7% 6.5% 4.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 9.8% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.