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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.89+4.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.53+2.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+4.92vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.71+0.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+0.56vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.13+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05-1.89vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94-3.65vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.35-1.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.32vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.46-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Connecticut College0.898.9%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University1.5315.6%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.253.9%1st Place
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4.17Webb Institute1.7118.3%1st Place
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5.56Northeastern University1.079.4%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College-0.132.9%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont0.809.3%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island1.058.3%1st Place
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8.78SUNY Maritime College-0.023.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University0.947.4%1st Place
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9.49Amherst College-0.352.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.2%1st Place
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11.66University of Michigan-1.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henry Scholz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Devon Owen | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Allison Nystrom | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
Calvin Schmid | 18.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Lilly Saffer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 9.4% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Adam Strobridge | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
Jakub Fuja | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Nat Edmonds | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 14.1% |
Reed McAllister | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Alexander Manthous | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.