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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.55vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+2.28vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.83vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.78-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.44+0.05vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-1.60-0.20vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.17-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.2%1st Place
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4.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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2.93Salve Regina University0.780.3%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont-0.440.1%1st Place
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3.45Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.11Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kenahan | 17.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Isaac Thompson | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Grant Smith | 15.6% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 1.9% |
| Jack Schneider | 25.1% | 22.7% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Victor Kleppinger | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 8.8% |
| Walter Chiles | 18.2% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 18.3% | 54.6% |
| Matthew Straub | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 28.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.