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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.22+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.66+1.30vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.67+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.79-2.78vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43+0.42vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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4.36Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.22University of Michigan0.790.4%1st Place
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6.42Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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3.77Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 18.7% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 11.8% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Sydney Mandell | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 23.9% | 7.7% |
| Finn Mahoney | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 25.9% | 8.1% |
| Graham Rebain | 38.4% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 74.2% |
| Charles Crowell | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.