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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.22+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.66+2.26vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.67+1.34vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.03-0.61vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.38-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.79-3.76vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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4.34Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.39Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.93Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Michigan0.790.4%1st Place
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6.3Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hammett | 14.7% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% |
| Sydney Mandell | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 7.5% |
| Finn Mahoney | 9.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 9.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 15.8% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Charles Crowell | 11.2% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 6.3% |
| Graham Rebain | 39.1% | 26.5% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.