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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.67+3.28vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.03+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.66+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.79-1.76vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.38-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.22-2.38vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.3Ohio State University-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Michigan0.790.4%1st Place
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3.96Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Michigan-0.220.1%1st Place
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6.3Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Mahoney | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 8.6% |
| Mason Shaw | 16.8% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% |
| Sydney Mandell | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 8.9% |
| Graham Rebain | 39.1% | 25.4% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Crowell | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 6.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 13.4% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.